Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.179770 0.255373 0.341054 0.443093 0.559333 0.685959 0.832773
2025-11-09 0.065413 0.147756 0.260140 0.411335 0.599446 0.818170 1.085095
2025-11-16 0.018456 0.085438 0.199900 0.371958 0.600975 0.879338 1.230090
2025-11-23 0.002782 0.053206 0.168072 0.359532 0.628556 0.966381 1.401600
2025-11-30 NaN 0.037179 0.154763 0.367946 0.679384 1.079144 1.601589
2025-12-07 NaN 0.022488 0.136102 0.363633 0.709952 1.164323 1.766419
2025-12-14 NaN 0.010247 0.112759 0.346475 0.719167 1.219725 1.892611
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008143 0.116422 0.375219 0.794259 1.361233 2.126775
2025-12-28 NaN 0.006547 0.120598 0.404566 0.870187 1.503960 2.362732
2026-01-04 NaN 0.004016 0.117888 0.420272 0.925457 1.619086 2.563776
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003969 0.127772 0.460260 1.017485 1.783667 2.828049
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003231 0.132868 0.490821 1.095289 1.929300 3.068418
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001163 0.125011 0.496931 1.138703 2.032770 3.260722
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.098536 0.461062 1.115905 2.046219 3.338149
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.072986 0.419684 1.080375 2.039436 3.387123
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.061002 0.406305 1.088077 2.091197 3.511030
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.058002 0.415311 1.132636 2.194581 3.702573
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.050668 0.410704 1.153583 2.264259 3.849602
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.039841 0.392394 1.149712 2.297844 3.948431
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.044325 0.423056 1.231525 2.454603 4.211030
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.048999 0.454291 1.314398 2.612992 4.475955
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.049212 0.470981 1.371810 2.734866 4.692495
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.057324 0.513397 1.474435 2.921881 4.995788